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Europe's wet-food boom, in concrete

Half-billion-franc plants and smaller pouch lines are all betting the same way — and it reshapes what raw-material buyers will need.
2026年6月30日 作者
Raphael Carmo · Managing Partner, 4D World

Key Takeaways

  • Purina's CHF 520m Mantova plant and VAFO's Poland expansion point the same way.
  • New premium-wet capacity lands across 2027-2029, cat-led and pouch-focused.
  • Dry kibble is built on meals; premium wet is built on fresh and frozen meat.
  • Wet food needs far higher inclusion of real animal protein per tonne.
  • A wet-food wave is a multi-year standing bid for CAT 3 organs and protein.

EUROPE PET FOOD WATCH · Nº 9

Read one plant announcement and it is a corporate press release. Read three in a season and it is a trend: Europe is pouring concrete for wet pet food.

At the other end of the supply chain
AT THE OTHER END OF THE SUPPLY CHAIN

The signals line up. Purina's CHF 520m super-premium wet plant in Mantova (opening 2029) and VAFO's expansion in Poland point the same direction — premium wet, pouches, cat-led — with capacity landing across 2027-2029. Different scales, different companies, one bet. Rather than re-tell each project, it is worth reading them together, because together they say something a single announcement cannot.

WET & POUCH
the format pulling the capex
PREMIUM CAT
the demand engine
2027-2029
when the lines come online
MORE RAW MEAT
wet needs more per tonne than dry
The finished bowl
THE FINISHED BOWL

The raw-material implication is the whole point. Dry kibble is built on meals; premium wet is built on fresh and frozen meat, organs and broths, with far higher inclusion of real animal protein per tonne of finished food. A wave of wet capacity is therefore a multi-year, standing bid for exactly the CAT 3 organs, trimmings and fresh protein that trade out of South America.

What a wet-food wave actually orders

Every wet line that lights up in 2027-2029 is a recurring order for fresh and frozen meat, organs and broths — and for the traceability premium European brands now demand. Dry buys meal; wet buys meat.

Dry food buys meal. Wet food buys meat. Europe just told you which way it's leaning.

The 4DW Angle

This is the demand wave our EU book is positioned for: documented CAT 3 organs and fresh protein into Europe, exactly the inputs a super-premium wet line consumes. Capacity being poured now is raw-material demand being written for the end of the decade — and it is worth a conversation today, not in 2029.

A cat and its very specific diet
A CAT AND ITS VERY SPECIFIC DIET

Frequently asked questions

Why is Europe investing in wet pet food capacity?

Read one plant announcement and it is a press release; read three and it is a trend. Purina's CHF 520m Mantova plant (opening 2029) and VAFO's Poland expansion both point to premium wet, pouches and cat-led demand, with capacity landing across 2027-2029. Different scales, one bet.

How does wet pet food change raw-material demand?

Dramatically. Dry kibble is built on meals, but premium wet is built on fresh and frozen meat, organs and broths, with far higher inclusion of real animal protein per tonne of finished food. A wave of wet capacity is therefore a multi-year, standing bid for exactly those CAT 3 streams.

When will Europe's new wet pet food plants come online?

The new capacity lands across 2027-2029. VAFO's Poland wet line starts at the end of 2027, and Purina's CHF 520m super-premium plant in Mantova opens in 2029. Each line that lights up is a recurring order for fresh and frozen meat, organs and broths - and the traceability European brands demand.


SOURCES

The 10-year protein forecast
The new OECD-FAO Outlook sees global meat output up 13% by 2035 — and it won't come from more animals, but from more per animal.